Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +17 (119-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 43 | 9-18 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 42 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 41 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 35 | 7-17 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Keith Askins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eric Murdock | 6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Glen Rice * | 35 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Bobby Phills * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| David Wesley * | 29 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Dell Curry * | 26 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J.R. Reid * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Matt Geiger * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tony Farmer * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| B.J. Armstrong * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Corey Beck | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter