Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +19.0 | ✓ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (96-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Jackson * | 38 | 7-15 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Dean Garrett * | 36 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Johnny Newman * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Bryant Stith * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 31 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Joe Wolf * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Goldwire * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Priest Lauderdale | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voshon Lenard * | 40 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 35 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter