Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +4 (82-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 41 | 4-17 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 39 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Todd Day | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rik Smits * | 38 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 37 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Mark Jackson * | 37 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Chris Mullin * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Travis Best * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mark Pope | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter