Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +19 (101-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Richmond * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Corliss Williamson * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Lawrence Funderburke * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Olden Polynice * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Billy Owens * | 26 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Michael Stewart * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Terry Dehere * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf | 19 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Tariq Abdul-Wahad | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Derek Grimm | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Salvadori | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Brown * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 29 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Todd Day * | 21 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 17 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Charles Smith | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter