Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.0% | 36.0% | -3.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -16 (74-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 43 | 11-15 | 4-5 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 29 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 39 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 20 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Terry Mills | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 42 | 8-24 | 0-4 | 4-9 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Ron Mercer * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Travis Knight * | 31 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 31 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 30 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Dana Barros * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Dee Brown * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Pervis Ellison * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter