Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.5% | 9.5% | -12.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -11 (96-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| David Robinson * | 31 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Vinny Del Negro * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Carl Herrera * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Cory Alexander * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Malik Rose | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Geary | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant Stith * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 36 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 36 | 10-19 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Dean Garrett * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Johnny Newman * | 23 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Goldwire * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joe Wolf * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Priest Lauderdale | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter