Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +10 (93-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Hill * | 41 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 39 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 38 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 31 | 11-19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Joe Dumars * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Aaron McKie * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Grant Long * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Litterial Green | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 48 | 11-21 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 42 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 37 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 34 | 12-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 22 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter