Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (88-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 40 | 6-18 | 1-7 | 6-7 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 13-16 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 19 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 37 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 34 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 33 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ike Austin | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| John Crotty | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otis Thorpe * | 43 | 11-18 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 42 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 40 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 11-18 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Joe Dumars * | 40 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Grant Long * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Aaron McKie * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Litterial Green | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter