Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +16 (106-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.C. Green * | 39 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Derek Harper * | 38 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 37 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 33 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 28 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Martin Muursepp * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Stevin Smith * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Greg Dreiling | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Ed O'Bannon | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latrell Sprewell * | 40 | 10-18 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 37 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Mark Price * | 29 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Chris Mullin * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Felton Spencer * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Melvin Booker * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ray Owes * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Scott Burrell * | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Todd Fuller | 5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter