Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -14 (78-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 42 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 38 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 31 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| John Crotty * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dan Majerle | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Willie Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rik Smits * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Mark Jackson * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Travis Best * | 20 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Derrick McKey * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Duane Ferrell * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Erick Dampier | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Brent Scott | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter