Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.5% | 15.5% | -9.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -18 (82-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Hill * | 43 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 40 | - |
| Joe Dumars * | 40 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 38 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 35 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 15 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Aaron McKie * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Litterial Green | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 40 | 6-18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | -2 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 35 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Derek Harper * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 30 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Stevin Smith * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 24 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Martin Muursepp * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Greg Dreiling * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Ed O'Bannon * | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter