Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +4 (83-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Ferry * | 39 | 3-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 39 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Chris Mills * | 38 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Lang * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Donny Marshall * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Terrell Brandon * | 15 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Bobby Phills * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Shawnelle Scott * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Mark West * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Reggie Geary | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 40 | 4-17 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 31 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 31 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 24 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 23 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| John Crotty * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Willie Anderson * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter