Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +13 (101-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Richmond * | 43 | 9-21 | 3-7 | 11-11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 10 | - |
| Tyus Edney * | 40 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Olden Polynice * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Billy Owens * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Michael Smith * | 30 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Corliss Williamson * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Bobby Hurley * | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Gamble | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 38 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 33 | 8-19 | 5-10 | 5-6 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 32 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 27 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 21 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| John Crotty * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Willie Anderson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter