Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +1 (98-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 42 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 39 | 8-19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Elden Campbell * | 36 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Jerome Kersey * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Corie Blount * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Byron Scott * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Sean Rooks * | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| George McCloud | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kobe Bryant | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Travis Knight | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voshon Lenard * | 42 | 8-17 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 40 | 7-22 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 38 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Willie Anderson * | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Ed Pinckney * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| John Crotty * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter