Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.1 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +2 (93-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latrell Sprewell * | 49 | 9-19 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 43 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Mark Price * | 43 | 9-13 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Chris Mullin * | 35 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Felton Spencer * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Melvin Booker * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Scott Burrell * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ray Owes * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 45 | 9-22 | 2-8 | 9-12 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 44 | 4-21 | 2-14 | 4-6 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 39 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 38 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ed Pinckney * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| John Crotty * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Willie Anderson * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter