Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +21 (101-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Willis * | 39 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Hakeem Olajuwon * | 39 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Mario Elie * | 36 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Clyde Drexler * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Matt Maloney * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Eddie Johnson * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Othella Harrington * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Randy Livingston * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sedale Threatt * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Bullard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Brown * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 39 | 12-25 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 15 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 35 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| John Crotty * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ed Pinckney * | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Willie Anderson * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Matt Fish | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bruce Bowen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter