Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.3% | 14.7% | -9.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -20 (82-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Hill * | 40 | 13-21 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 29 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 34 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Joe Dumars * | 31 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 27 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Aaron McKie * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Grant Long * | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Litterial Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jerome Williams | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Don Reid | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 41 | 10-22 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 38 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Brooks Thompson * | 34 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Dale Ellis * | 34 | 2-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 32 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Kenny Smith * | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jerome Allen * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tom Hammonds * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Goldwire * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| George Zidek | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter