Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | -4.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -15 (93-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Brown * | 43 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 43 | 11-25 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 38 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Willie Anderson * | 19 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Ed Pinckney * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Crotty | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vin Baker * | 43 | 12-17 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 39 | 8-20 | 3-8 | 7-7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Glenn Robinson * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Sherman Douglas * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Johnny Newman * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chucky Brown * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Armen Gilliam * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Elliot Perry * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Joe Wolf * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter