Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | -0.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +6 (82-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 41 | 11-24 | 3-10 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 17 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 34 | 0-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 30 | 7-20 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 0 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| John Crotty * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Ed Pinckney * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Willie Anderson | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Rice * | 48 | 8-15 | 3-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 46 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 40 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Muggsy Bogues * | 37 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Dell Curry * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Tony Smith * | 14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ricky Pierce * | 7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Matt Geiger | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Donald Royal | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter