Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +5 (105-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio McDyess * | 39 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 38 | 6-18 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Bryant Stith * | 35 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Dale Ellis * | 30 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Goldwire * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kenny Smith * | 18 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Jerome Allen * | 12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tom Hammonds | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Richmond * | 41 | 10-22 | 2-5 | 12-13 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 25 | - |
| Olden Polynice * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Michael Smith * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Billy Owens * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf * | 25 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Tyus Edney * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Gamble * | 14 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Corliss Williamson * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Grayer | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter