Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -9 (99-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 44 | 10-20 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 26 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 41 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 36 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| John Crotty * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ed Pinckney | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Willie Anderson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Hunter * | 44 | 9-17 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 38 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Joe Dumars * | 38 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Aaron McKie * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Grant Long * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Litterial Green | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jerome Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Curry | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter