Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.7 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinny Del Negro * | 43 | 7-16 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Carl Herrera * | 42 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 41 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 38 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Greg Anderson * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamie Feick * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cory Alexander | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Joe Courtney | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 41 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 39 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 38 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ed Pinckney * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| John Crotty * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Willie Anderson * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter