Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✗ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -1 (95-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 43 | 9-20 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Shawn Kemp * | 40 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Hersey Hawkins * | 37 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Nate McMillan * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Larry Stewart * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sam Perkins * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jim McIlvaine * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Craig Ehlo * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Terry Cummings * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Eric Snow | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voshon Lenard * | 42 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 41 | 9-19 | 6-12 | 5-5 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 40 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 38 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 34 | 1-11 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 24 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| John Crotty * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter