Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.0% | 94.0% | +15.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (95-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 43 | 11-24 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 16 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 39 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Bryant Stith * | 38 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Goldwire * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Dale Ellis * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Jerome Allen * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tom Hammonds * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brooks Thompson * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Vincent Askew | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| George Zidek | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ike Austin * | 38 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 37 | 5-20 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 35 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 33 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| John Crotty * | 19 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Ed Pinckney * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter