Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +13 (104-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Hunter * | 38 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Joe Dumars * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 33 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 27 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Aaron McKie * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Don Reid | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Michael Curry | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Litterial Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jerome Williams | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voshon Lenard * | 38 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 37 | 11-17 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 28 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 36 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 9-19 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 31 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -1 | - |
| John Crotty * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Martin Muursepp | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter