Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.9% | 15.1% | -9.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -1 (117-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voshon Lenard * | 44 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 6-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 39 | 8-18 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 38 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 14 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| John Crotty * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ed Pinckney * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Willie Anderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Wesley * | 43 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 42 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 42 | 8-21 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 41 | 9-18 | 5-10 | 10-12 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 30 | - |
| Todd Day * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Marty Conlon * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Alton Lister * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brett Szabo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter