Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -5 (66-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Askins * | 44 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 40 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 37 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| John Crotty | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Brandon * | 42 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Bobby Phills * | 41 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Chris Mills * | 39 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Tyrone Hill * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 18 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mark West * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Antonio Lang * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Donny Marshall | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shawnelle Scott | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter