Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +15.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +20 (103-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 42 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 6 | - |
| David Wesley * | 42 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 4-7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Todd Day * | 39 | 7-16 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 37 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 36 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Alton Lister * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Brett Szabo * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 43 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 28 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 33 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 32 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 27 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 24 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| John Crotty * | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ed Pinckney | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter