Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +28 (125-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Bryant * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Loren Meyer * | 27 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Johnson * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Danny Manning * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 21 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Hot Rod Williams * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Rex Chapman * | 17 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Rumeal Robinson * | 14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Ben Davis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Brown * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 31 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| John Crotty * | 24 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 23 | 7-13 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 18 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Ed Pinckney | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Willie Anderson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Martin Muursepp | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter