Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.3% | 27.7% | -5.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -12 (87-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 38 | 10-19 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 15 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 32 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 26 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 26 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Willie Anderson * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| John Crotty | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Martin Muursepp | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Williams * | 48 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 13-15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire * | 46 | 7-20 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 42 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Popeye Jones * | 39 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| John Long * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Acie Earl * | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Clifford Rozier | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter