Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -3 (104-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 40 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 26 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 22 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Derek Harper * | 22 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Eric Montross * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Oliver Miller * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Jackson * | 42 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Dale Ellis * | 38 | 9-18 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 8 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 37 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Bryant Stith * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Tom Hammonds * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ricky Pierce * | 19 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Darvin Ham * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brooks Thompson | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter