Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (104-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Ellis * | 42 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Mark Jackson * | 40 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 35 | 11-19 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Bryant Stith * | 31 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Tom Hammonds * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ricky Pierce * | 19 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Darvin Ham * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Brooks Thompson * | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Montross * | 35 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| George McCloud * | 27 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Derek Harper * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 22 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 21 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Oliver Miller * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter