Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (94-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasha Danilovic * | 45 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 3-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 44 | 6-18 | 0-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 40 | 12-24 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 19 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 39 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 20 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| John Crotty | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Martin Muursepp | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 40 | 15-26 | 0-0 | 4-11 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 25 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 38 | 3-16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Byron Scott * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Elden Campbell * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jerome Kersey * | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Travis Knight * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sean Rooks * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter