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1997-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat Utah Jazz Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 25.9% 74.1% +5.8 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% -

Actual: Utah Jazz +3 (83-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Hardaway * 40 5-18 0-8 5-6 7 8 1 0 3 15 10 -
Alonzo Mourning * 37 8-13 0-0 2-6 15 0 2 3 2 18 23 -
Keith Askins * 34 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 -
Sasha Danilovic * 32 6-15 0-5 3-3 3 4 2 1 5 15 5 -
Voshon Lenard * 32 6-13 6-13 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 18 9 -
P.J. Brown * 27 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 3 2 3 -
Ike Austin * 21 4-6 0-0 2-5 5 1 1 0 2 10 9 -
Kurt Thomas * 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 5 -

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl Malone * 41 10-22 0-0 8-14 12 4 1 0 6 28 17 -
John Stockton * 37 3-8 0-2 0-1 2 11 3 1 2 6 13 -
Jeff Hornacek * 30 4-9 1-3 4-4 2 4 1 1 1 13 11 -
Bryon Russell * 29 3-4 1-1 4-6 4 1 2 0 1 11 13 -
Greg Ostertag * 19 2-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
Chris Morris * 18 4-5 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 0 8 6 -
Antoine Carr * 17 0-2 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 1 5 -
Jamie Watson * 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 3 0 1 3 6 -
Greg Foster * 15 1-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Howard Eisley 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 4 3 -
Adam Keefe 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter