Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | -0.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -15 (86-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 44 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 33 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 32 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 20 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kurt Thomas | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| James Scott | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Martin Muursepp | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Rice * | 46 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 42 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Muggsy Bogues * | 38 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Dell Curry * | 37 | 10-19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Matt Geiger * | 20 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Goldwire * | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tony Smith | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| George Zidek | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rafael Addison | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter