Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +20 (96-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Wilkins * | 41 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Dennis Scott * | 41 | 6-14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Rony Seikaly * | 38 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Brian Shaw * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Horace Grant * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Derek Strong * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Kenny Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| David Vaughn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasha Danilovic * | 41 | 7-17 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 39 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 28 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 30 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 22 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gary Grant * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Scott | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Martin Muursepp | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter