Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.5% | 13.5% | -10.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -11 (79-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasha Danilovic * | 47 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 39 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 39 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 35 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 10-15 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 25 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 26 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 24 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gary Grant | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Elliott * | 38 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Vinny Del Negro * | 34 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Dominique Wilkins * | 32 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 30 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| David Robinson * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Vernon Maxwell * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Greg Anderson * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cory Alexander | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter