Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✗ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -20 (66-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 39 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 39 | 7-23 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 37 | 7-15 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 25 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Gary Grant | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| James Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Martin Muursepp | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Elie * | 46 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Hakeem Olajuwon * | 42 | 6-17 | 1-1 | 7-11 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tracy Moore * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Matt Maloney * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Randy Livingston * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Othella Harrington * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Sam Mack * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Matt Bullard * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter