Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✗ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -14 (89-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Miller * | 36 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Travis Best * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 33 | 9-14 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Derrick McKey * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Vincent Askew * | 21 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Duane Ferrell * | 16 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jerome Allen * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Eddie Johnson * | 9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 46 | 9-23 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 39 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Gary Grant * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 32 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 23 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keith Askins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter