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1996-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 89.6% 10.4% -
Bradley-Terry 82.6% 17.4% -
Margin 81.3% 18.7% -8.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 66.0% 34.0% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alonzo Mourning * 44 8-14 0-0 4-6 17 2 1 5 5 20 26 -
Dan Majerle * 39 3-11 2-9 1-2 3 5 0 0 2 9 4 -
Tim Hardaway * 38 8-20 0-5 5-7 5 8 3 0 2 21 15 -
Sasha Danilovic * 31 4-14 1-7 1-2 1 0 2 0 0 10 -1 -
P.J. Brown * 25 3-7 0-0 1-3 10 1 0 0 2 7 9 -
Ike Austin * 23 4-5 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
Voshon Lenard * 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 3 0 1 0 3 -
Keith Askins * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
Gary Grant 9 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerry Stackhouse * 43 7-17 2-6 1-2 2 4 0 0 3 17 3 -
Derrick Coleman * 40 7-17 3-7 7-11 13 3 0 0 5 24 18 -
Allen Iverson * 38 2-17 1-9 3-4 2 6 2 1 6 8 -4 -
Clar. Weatherspoon * 35 6-10 0-0 7-8 11 1 1 1 2 19 21 -
Michael Cage * 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 2 0 2 14 -
Scott Williams * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 0 0 10 -
Mark Davis * 20 3-9 0-1 1-2 4 0 2 0 3 7 1 -
Doug Overton * 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
Rex Walters * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter