Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.3% | 93.7% | +14.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +22 (101-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Jackson * | 38 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 9 | - |
| George McCloud * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Derek Harper * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Eric Montross * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Oliver Miller * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 20 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Loren Meyer * | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Samaki Walker | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tony Dumas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Fred Roberts | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Greg Dreiling | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Majerle * | 38 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 34 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 30 | 11-13 | 6-6 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 19 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Gary Grant * | 24 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ed Pinckney | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Voshon Lenard | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Scott | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter