Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.0% | 20.0% | -7.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -19 (88-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Majerle * | 38 | 8-14 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 38 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 37 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 26 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 18 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Gary Grant | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ed Pinckney | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Voshon Lenard | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latrell Sprewell * | 41 | 6-20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Chris Mullin * | 39 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 37 | 11-25 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Felton Spencer * | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Mark Price * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B.J. Armstrong * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Donald Royal * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Todd Fuller | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lou Roe | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Donyell Marshall | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ray Owes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter