Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.8% | 24.2% | -6.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -3 (108-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Majerle * | 51 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 46 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 46 | 6-20 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 35 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 25 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Gary Grant * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ed Pinckney | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Richmond * | 53 | 12-24 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 14 | - |
| Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf * | 48 | 9-16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Billy Owens * | 47 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Olden Polynice * | 41 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Corliss Williamson * | 29 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Michael Smith * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Tyus Edney * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Lionel Simmons * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lloyd Daniels * | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kevin Gamble | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter