Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.7% | 8.3% | -13.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -19 (75-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Majerle * | 45 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 36 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 33 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 20 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Gary Grant * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ed Pinckney | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| James Scott | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Voshon Lenard | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant Reeves * | 38 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Lawrence Moten * | 35 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Blue Edwards * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Greg Anthony * | 32 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Roy Rogers * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Lee Mayberry * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Eric Mobley * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 12 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| George Lynch | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter