Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.3% | 14.7% | -9.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -18 (86-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Brown * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 36 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 35 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Gary Grant * | 17 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ed Pinckney | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Voshon Lenard | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio McDyess * | 39 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Dale Ellis * | 38 | 4-17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -11 | - |
| Mark Jackson * | 35 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 25 | - |
| Bryant Stith * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Darvin Ham * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 12 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Sarunas Marciulionis * | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tom Hammonds * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| LaSalle Thompson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Eric Murdock | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter