Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.5% | 15.5% | -9.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -7 (84-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Majerle * | 42 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 41 | 6-20 | 1-8 | 6-10 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 41 | 4-13 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 23 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Gary Grant * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Gatling * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 30 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Oliver Miller * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| George McCloud * | 20 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Eric Montross * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tony Dumas * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Derek Harper * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Loren Meyer * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Fred Roberts | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter