Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +9.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (101-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vin Baker * | 41 | 9-17 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Glenn Robinson * | 36 | 10-18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Andrew Lang * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Sherman Douglas * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Johnny Newman * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Armen Gilliam * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Elliot Perry * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Joe Wolf | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Darrin Hancock | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Wood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasha Danilovic * | 36 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 35 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 33 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 21 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Gary Grant * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter