Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -2 (95-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 38 | 8-20 | 2-10 | 7-10 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 36 | 6-15 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 35 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Sasha Danilovic * | 33 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Gary Grant * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick McKey * | 42 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 39 | 11-22 | 3-6 | 9-11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 17 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Travis Best * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Haywoode Workman * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brent Scott * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Williams | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jerome Allen | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter