Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | +5.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.3% | 64.7% | +6.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +10 (115-105). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski * | 37 | 6-14 | 3-10 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | -13.8 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg * | 36 | 9-19 | 2-7 | 5-8 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | -10.2 |
| Draymond Green * | 26 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | -16.1 |
| Al Horford * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7.5 |
| Stephen Curry * | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -8.0 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 24 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | -4.7 |
| Georges Niang | 19 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -9.8 |
| Will Richard | 18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +0.3 |
| LJ Cryer | 17 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +16.5 |
| Charles Bassey | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +3.7 |
| Gui Santos | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -2 | +9.1 |
| Graham Ike | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +11.4 |
| Malevy Leons | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +11.4 |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun * | 37 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 27 | +10.7 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +17.0 |
| Kevin Durant * | 33 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | +13.3 |
| Fred VanVleet * | 29 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | +20.5 |
| Amen Thompson * | 28 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 20 | +9.4 |
| Tari Eason | 22 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -2 | -10.1 |
| Reed Sheppard | 20 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Marcus Smart | 16 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Bruce Thornton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.3 |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Isaiah Crawford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.1 |
* = starter