Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | -1.5 | ✗ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -5 (118-123). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun * | 37 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -2.3 |
| Nikola Jokić * | 36 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 31 | +4.7 |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 12-19 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 24 | +10.0 |
| Cameron Johnson * | 29 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | +2.2 |
| Aaron Gordon * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Spencer Jones | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +3.1 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 20 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Trevon Brazile | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Marvin Bagley III | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +1.6 |
| Tyus Jones | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +0.9 |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | -0.8 |
| Ty Jerome * | 32 | 9-18 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +9.7 |
| Jaylen Wells * | 30 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | +6.5 |
| Cedric Coward * | 26 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | +2.3 |
| Zach Edey * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3.0 |
| Jerami Grant | 20 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -6.8 |
| Cam Spencer | 20 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | -8.1 |
| Isaiah Stewart | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -7.6 |
| Javon Small | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -10.0 |
| GG Jackson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Taylor Hendricks | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -1.0 |
* = starter